Lugia
Fates Collide · #78 · Rare
Market value
$86.80▲ 202.9%30d
PSA 10 price
$9,930.77(+11341%)
Thin market: only 68 PSA 10s exist, so this price can swing.
Price history
+321.6% since Oct 3, 2026
Oct 3, 2026Low $20.59 · High $86.80Nov 14, 2026
Series
XY
Artist
TOKIYA
Release date
2016/05/02
Region
Johto
Types
Colorless
What grading does to this card
If it grades a PSA 10 (11%)
+$7,943.97
sells for $9,930.77
If it does not (89%)
+$299.38
PSA 9 and lower, on average
Grading pays off if more than 0% of copies hit a 10. This card: about 11%. All figures are net of the raw card, grading, shipping and selling fees.
How we weigh the odds
We weigh every outcome by how often PSA-graded copies of this card come back a 10, 9 or 8. The average over all outcomes is the last line below.
11% chance of PSA 10 × $9,930.77$1,082.45
38% chance of PSA 9 × $1,622.63$608.49
29% chance of PSA 8 × $1,356.41$389.29
23% PSA 7 or lower × $78.12 (90% of raw)$17.89
Expected sale value$2,101.65
Selling fees (~13%)−$273.21
Raw card−$86.80
Grading (PSA Premier)−$599.00
Shipping both ways−$10.00
Average over all grades (+163%)+$1,132.64
▲ Volatile: the raw price moved +203% in the last 30 days. PSA Premier takes about 7–10 business days, so a price move matters less here than on a months-long tier.
Pop reports count submitted cards, and people mostly submit their best copies, so the real odds for a random raw card are likely a bit lower.
Buy Signal · Population report
Speculative10.7% of PSA-graded copies come back a 10
PSA population
634
Graded PSA 10
68
Gem Rate
10.7%
| Grade | PSA |
|---|---|
| 10 | 68 |
| 9 | 238 |
| 8.5 | 2 |
| 8 | 181 |
| 7 | 65 |
| 6 | 50 |
| 5 | 18 |
| 4 | 9 |
| 1 | 5 |
| Total | 634 |
Grade 10 value
What a Grade 10 sells for, by grading company.
PSALeads$9,930.77
Price ladder
Every condition and grade Scrydex tracks for this card.
Raw
NM$86.80
LP$33.95
MP$20.92
HP$5.76
DM$8.30
Graded
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Live raw and graded eBay listings for this card.
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More versions of Lugia
Every other printing of this character across sets.
