Lucario
Fates Collide · #63 · Rare Holo
Market value
$7.77▲ 1.8%30d
PSA 10 price
$3,739.77(+48031%)
Thin market: only 19 PSA 10s exist, so this price can swing.
Price history
+7.5% since Oct 3, 2026
Oct 3, 2026Low $7.23 · High $7.86Nov 14, 2026
Series
XY
Artist
Hitoshi Ariga
Release date
2016/05/02
Region
Sinnoh
Types
Metal
What grading does to this card
If it grades a PSA 10 (6%)
+$2,886.83
sells for $3,739.77
If it does not (94%)
−$204.24
PSA 9 and lower, on average
Grading pays off if more than 7% of copies hit a 10. This card: about 6%. All figures are net of the raw card, grading, shipping and selling fees.
How we weigh the odds
We weigh every outcome by how often PSA-graded copies of this card come back a 10, 9 or 8. The average over all outcomes is the last line below.
6% chance of PSA 10 × $3,739.77$205.69
42% chance of PSA 9 × $408.30$170.67
36% chance of PSA 8 × $7.77 (no PSA 8 price, counted as raw)$2.80
17% PSA 7 or lower × $6.99 (90% of raw)$1.17
Expected sale value$382.23
Selling fees (~13%)−$49.69
Raw card−$7.77
Grading (PSA Super Express)−$349.00
Shipping both ways−$10.00
Average over all grades (-9%)−$34.23
Pop reports count submitted cards, and people mostly submit their best copies, so the real odds for a random raw card are likely a bit lower.
Buy Signal · Population report
Speculative4.9% of PSA-graded copies come back a 10
PSA population
387
Graded PSA 10
19
Gem Rate
4.9%
| Grade | PSA |
|---|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| 9 | 163 |
| 8 | 142 |
| 7 | 38 |
| 6 | 15 |
| 5 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 |
| 1 | 1 |
| Total | 387 |
Grade 10 value
What a Grade 10 sells for, by grading company.
PSALeads$3,739.77
Price ladder
Every condition and grade Scrydex tracks for this card.
Raw
NM$7.77
LP$3.84
MP$2.58
HP$2.28
DM$1.82
Graded
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Live raw and graded eBay listings for this card.
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More versions of Lucario
Every other printing of this character across sets.
