Ball Guy
Shining Fates · #65 · Rare Ultra
Market value
$3.77▼ 2.6%30d
PSA 10 price
$87.40(+2218%)
Price history
-7.1% since May 1, 2026
May 1, 2026Low $3.31 · High $4.85Nov 14, 2026
Series
Sword & Shield
Artist
Hitoshi Ariga
Release date
2021/02/19
What grading does to this card
If it grades a PSA 10 (49%)
+$2.28
sells for $87.40
If it does not (51%)
−$57.54
PSA 9 and lower, on average
Grading pays off if more than 96% of copies hit a 10. This card: about 49%. All figures are net of the raw card, grading, shipping and selling fees.
How we weigh the odds
We weigh every outcome by how often PSA-graded copies of this card come back a 10, 9 or 8. The average over all outcomes is the last line below.
49% chance of PSA 10 × $87.40$42.56
36% chance of PSA 9 × $21.83$7.88
13% chance of PSA 8 × $12.26$1.61
2% PSA 7 or lower × $3.39 (90% of raw)$0.07
Expected sale value$52.13
Selling fees (~13%)−$6.78
Raw card−$3.77
Grading (PSA Standard)−$59.99
Shipping both ways−$10.00
Average over all grades (-38%)−$28.41
Pop reports count submitted cards, and people mostly submit their best copies, so the real odds for a random raw card are likely a bit lower.
Buy Signal · Population report
Strong Buy48.6% of PSA-graded copies come back a 10
PSA population
1,163
Graded PSA 10
565
Gem Rate
48.6%
| Grade | PSA |
|---|---|
| 10 | 565 |
| 9 | 420 |
| 8 | 153 |
| 7 | 19 |
| 6 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 |
| Total | 1,163 |
Grade 10 value
What a Grade 10 sells for, by grading company.
TAGLeads$98.31
PSA$87.40
CGC$26.48
SGC$5.00
Price ladder
Every condition and grade Scrydex tracks for this card.
Raw
NM$3.77
LP$3.77
MP$3.52
HP$2.00
DM$2.05
Graded
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