Spheal
Surging Sparks · #199 · Illustration Rare
Market value
$8.72▼ 9.8%30d
PSA 10 price
$119.27(+1268%)
Price history
+6.3% since Apr 30, 2026
Apr 30, 2026Low $8.11 · High $11.29Nov 14, 2026
Series
Scarlet & Violet
Artist
miki kudo
Release date
2024/11/08
Region
Hoenn
Types
Water
What grading does to this card
If it grades a PSA 10 (31%)
+$25.05
sells for $119.27
If it does not (69%)
−$62.29
PSA 9 and lower, on average
Grading pays off if more than 71% of copies hit a 10. This card: about 31%. All figures are net of the raw card, grading, shipping and selling fees.
How we weigh the odds
We weigh every outcome by how often PSA-graded copies of this card come back a 10, 9 or 8. The average over all outcomes is the last line below.
31% chance of PSA 10 × $119.27$37.33
55% chance of PSA 9 × $19.66$10.77
12% chance of PSA 8 × $16.84$2.05
2% PSA 7 or lower × $7.85 (90% of raw)$0.13
Expected sale value$50.30
Selling fees (~13%)−$6.54
Raw card−$8.72
Grading (PSA Standard)−$59.99
Shipping both ways−$10.00
Average over all grades (-44%)−$34.95
Pop reports count submitted cards, and people mostly submit their best copies, so the real odds for a random raw card are likely a bit lower.
Buy Signal · Population report
Strong Buy31.3% of PSA-graded copies come back a 10
PSA population
4,847
Graded PSA 10
1,517
Gem Rate
31.3%
| Grade | PSA |
|---|---|
| 10 | 1,517 |
| 9 | 2,654 |
| 8.5 | 19 |
| 8 | 573 |
| 7.5 | 1 |
| 7 | 62 |
| 6 | 30 |
| 5 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 |
| Total | 4,847 |
Grade 10 value
What a Grade 10 sells for, by grading company.
PSALeads$119.27
TAG$110.41
ACE$43.83
AGS$30.00
CGC$28.94
Price ladder
Every condition and grade Scrydex tracks for this card.
Raw
NM$8.72
LP$7.56
MP$8.51
HP$5.00
DM$6.03
Graded
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Live raw and graded eBay listings for this card.
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More versions of Spheal
Every other printing of this character across sets.
