Paldean Fates · #174 · Shiny Rare
Market value
$19.63▲ 0.6%30d
PSA 10 price
$265.04(+1250%)
Price history
Series
Scarlet & Violet
Artist
Shin Nagasawa
Release date
2024/01/26
Region
Sinnoh
Types
Fighting
What grading does to this card
If it grades a PSA 10 (46%)
+$140.96
sells for $265.04
If it does not (54%)
−$54.93
PSA 9 and lower, on average
Grading pays off if more than 28% of copies hit a 10. This card: about 46%. All figures are net of the raw card, grading, shipping and selling fees.
How we weigh the odds
We weigh every outcome by how often PSA-graded copies of this card come back a 10, 9 or 8. The average over all outcomes is the last line below.
Pop reports count submitted cards, and people mostly submit their best copies, so the real odds for a random raw card are likely a bit lower.
Buy Signal · Population report
PSA population
746
Graded PSA 10
347
Gem Rate
46.5%
| Grade | PSA |
|---|---|
| 10 | 347 |
| 9 | 367 |
| 8 | 28 |
| 6 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 |
| Total | 746 |
What a Grade 10 sells for, by grading company.
Every condition and grade Scrydex tracks for this card.
Raw
Graded
Live raw and graded eBay listings for this card.
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Every other printing of this character across sets.
Short answer: yes, grading Lucario looks worth it on our numbers (verdict: GRADE IT).
Lucario is a Shiny Rare Fighting-type card from Paldean Fates, released in 2024, illustrated by Shin Nagasawa. Lucario (Paldean Fates, #174) sells for about $19.63 raw and around $265.04 as a PSA 10, a gap of roughly 1,250% before grading costs. PSA has graded 746 copies, and about 47% of them received a PSA 10. A PSA 9 sells for around $41.52, so a 9 still beats the raw price. Our model gives a 46% chance of a PSA 10. If a copy grades a 10 it nets about $140.96 after the $59.99 grading fee, shipping and selling fees; if it does not, expect to lose about $54.93, so grading pays off when more than 28% of copies hit a 10. Whether it is worth grading depends on the condition of your copy, the grading fee and how often this card reaches a 10; the grader on CardHunt gives a free AI estimate from a front and back photo.
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Free for blogs, forums and videos. Paste this where you want the card to appear; the text link below the frame credits CardHunt.
<iframe src="https://www.cardhunt.io/embed/sv4pt5-174" width="360" height="150" style="border:0;max-width:100%" loading="lazy" title="Lucario Paldean Fates on CardHunt"></iframe> <p><a href="https://www.cardhunt.io/discover/sv4pt5-174">Lucario Paldean Fates price and PSA 10 value on CardHunt</a></p>