Paldea Evolved · #261 · Special Illustration Rare
Market value
$24.55▼ 6.6%30d
PSA 10 price
$101.43(+313%)
Price history
Series
Scarlet & Violet
Artist
kodama
Release date
2023/06/09
Region
Paldea
Types
Water
What grading does to this card
If it grades a PSA 10 (51%)
−$6.30
sells for $101.43
If it does not (49%)
−$65.40
PSA 9 and lower, on average
Even a PSA 10 would not cover the costs at this price. All figures are net of the raw card, grading, shipping and selling fees.
How we weigh the odds
We weigh every outcome by how often PSA-graded copies of this card come back a 10, 9 or 8. The average over all outcomes is the last line below.
Pop reports count submitted cards, and people mostly submit their best copies, so the real odds for a random raw card are likely a bit lower.
Buy Signal · Population report
PSA population
4,860
Graded PSA 10
2,496
Gem Rate
51.4%
| Grade | PSA |
|---|---|
| 10 | 2,496 |
| 9 | 2,073 |
| 8.5 | 2 |
| 8 | 237 |
| 7 | 30 |
| 6 | 16 |
| 5 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 |
| Total | 4,860 |
What a Grade 10 sells for, by grading company.
Every condition and grade Scrydex tracks for this card.
Raw
Graded
Live raw and graded eBay listings for this card.
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Every other printing of this character across sets.
Short answer: no, grading Chien-Pao ex does not pay off on our numbers (verdict: SKIP IT).
Chien-Pao ex is a Special Illustration Rare Water-type card from Paldea Evolved, released in 2023, illustrated by kodama. Chien-Pao ex (Paldea Evolved, #261) sells for about $24.55 raw and around $101.43 as a PSA 10, a gap of roughly 313% before grading costs. PSA has graded 4,860 copies, and about 51% of them received a PSA 10. A PSA 9 sells for around $34.85, so a 9 still beats the raw price. The raw price has fallen about 7% over the last 30 days. Our model gives a 51% chance of a PSA 10. If a copy grades a 10 it nets about $6.30 less than it costs after the $59.99 grading fee, shipping and selling fees; if it does not, expect to lose about $65.40. Whether it is worth grading depends on the condition of your copy, the grading fee and how often this card reaches a 10; the grader on CardHunt gives a free AI estimate from a front and back photo.
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<iframe src="https://www.cardhunt.io/embed/sv2-261" width="360" height="150" style="border:0;max-width:100%" loading="lazy" title="Chien-Pao ex Paldea Evolved on CardHunt"></iframe> <p><a href="https://www.cardhunt.io/discover/sv2-261">Chien-Pao ex Paldea Evolved price and PSA 10 value on CardHunt</a></p>