Wait and See Hammer
Lost Thunder · #236 · Rare Secret
Market value
$5.82▼ 0.2%30d
PSA 10 price
$64.51(+1008%)
Thin market: only 23 PSA 10s exist, so this price can swing.
Price history
+0.0% since Oct 3, 2026
Oct 3, 2026Low $5.82 · High $5.88Nov 14, 2026
Series
Sun & Moon
Artist
Yoshinobu Saito
Release date
2018/11/02
What grading does to this card
If it grades a PSA 10 (34%)
−$19.69
sells for $64.51
If it does not (66%)
−$59.28
PSA 9 and lower, on average
Even a PSA 10 would not cover the costs at this price. All figures are net of the raw card, grading, shipping and selling fees.
How we weigh the odds
We weigh every outcome by how often PSA-graded copies of this card come back a 10, 9 or 8. The average over all outcomes is the last line below.
34% chance of PSA 10 × $64.51$22.19
41% chance of PSA 9 × $27.00$11.07
16% chance of PSA 8 × $5.82 (no PSA 8 price, counted as raw)$0.91
9% PSA 7 or lower × $5.24 (90% of raw)$0.47
Expected sale value$34.65
Selling fees (~13%)−$4.50
Raw card−$5.82
Grading (PSA Standard)−$59.99
Shipping both ways−$10.00
Average over all grades (-60%)−$45.66
Moderate number of PSA-graded copies; the chances are partly based on its set average. Pop reports count submitted cards, and people mostly submit their best copies, so the real odds for a random raw card are likely a bit lower.
Buy Signal · Population report
Strong Buy35.4% of PSA-graded copies come back a 10
PSA population
65
Graded PSA 10
23
Gem Rate
35.4%
| Grade | PSA |
|---|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| 9 | 26 |
| 8 | 10 |
| 7 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 |
| Total | 65 |
Grade 10 value
What a Grade 10 sells for, by grading company.
PSALeads$64.51
Price ladder
Every condition and grade Scrydex tracks for this card.
Raw
NM$5.82
LP$5.75
MP$4.06
HP$3.98
Graded
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