Heat Factory ◇
Lost Thunder · #178 · Rare Prism Star
Market value
$1.48▲ 28.7%30d
PSA 10 price
$499.99(+33683%)
Thin market: only 7 PSA 10s exist, so this price can swing.
Price history
+19.4% since Oct 3, 2026
Oct 3, 2026Low $1.10 · High $1.48Nov 14, 2026
Series
Sun & Moon
Artist
5ban Graphics
Release date
2018/11/02
What grading does to this card
If it grades a PSA 10 (18%)
+$363.52
sells for $499.99
If it does not (82%)
−$47.29
PSA 9 and lower, on average
Grading pays off if more than 12% of copies hit a 10. This card: about 18%. All figures are net of the raw card, grading, shipping and selling fees.
How we weigh the odds
We weigh every outcome by how often PSA-graded copies of this card come back a 10, 9 or 8. The average over all outcomes is the last line below.
18% chance of PSA 10 × $499.99$88.00
47% chance of PSA 9 × $45.00$20.93
22% chance of PSA 8 × $7.00$1.53
14% PSA 7 or lower × $1.33 (90% of raw)$0.19
Expected sale value$110.90
Selling fees (~13%)−$14.42
Raw card−$1.48
Grading (PSA Standard)−$59.99
Shipping both ways−$10.00
Average over all grades (+35%)+$25.01
▲ Volatile: the raw price moved +29% in the last 30 days. PSA Standard takes about 90–100 business days (roughly 4–5 months), so this pick is more sensitive to the price moving before the slab comes back.
Moderate number of PSA-graded copies; the chances are partly based on its set average. Pop reports count submitted cards, and people mostly submit their best copies, so the real odds for a random raw card are likely a bit lower.
Buy Signal · Population report
Speculative12.7% of PSA-graded copies come back a 10
PSA population
55
Graded PSA 10
7
Gem Rate
12.7%
| Grade | PSA |
|---|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| 9 | 26 |
| 8 | 13 |
| 7 | 9 |
| Total | 55 |
Grade 10 value
What a Grade 10 sells for, by grading company.
PSALeads$499.99
CGC$46.16
Price ladder
Every condition and grade Scrydex tracks for this card.
Raw
NM$1.48
LP$0.85
MP$0.92
HP$0.79
DM$0.42
Graded
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