Chaos Rising · #122 · Mega Hyper Rare
Market value
$108.86▼ 10.1%30d
PSA 10 price
$620.75(+470%)
Price history
Series
Mega Evolution
Artist
takuyoa
Release date
2026/05/22
Region
Kalos
Types
Water
What grading does to this card
If it grades a PSA 10 (22%)
+$361.20
sells for $620.75
If it does not (78%)
−$75.57
PSA 9 and lower, on average
Grading pays off if more than 17% of copies hit a 10. This card: about 22%. All figures are net of the raw card, grading, shipping and selling fees.
How we weigh the odds
We weigh every outcome by how often PSA-graded copies of this card come back a 10, 9 or 8. The average over all outcomes is the last line below.
Pop reports count submitted cards, and people mostly submit their best copies, so the real odds for a random raw card are likely a bit lower.
Buy Signal · Population report
PSA population
3,563
Graded PSA 10
792
Gem Rate
22.2%
| Grade | PSA |
|---|---|
| 10 | 792 |
| 9 | 1,986 |
| 8.5 | 5 |
| 8 | 711 |
| 7 | 44 |
| 6 | 19 |
| 5 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 |
| Total | 3,563 |
What a Grade 10 sells for, by grading company.
Every condition and grade Scrydex tracks for this card.
Raw
Graded
Live raw and graded eBay listings for this card.
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Every other printing of this character across sets.
Twilight Masquerade
$227.20
XY Black Star Promos
$138.89
Forbidden Light
$128.42
Hidden Fates Shiny Vault
$111.94
Chaos Rising
$103.39
Scarlet & Violet Black Star Promos
$74.34
SWSH Black Star Promos
$66.27
Forbidden Light
$64.47
Unbroken Bonds
$35.57
XY Black Star Promos
$32.38
Forbidden Light
$19.95
XY Black Star Promos
$19.08
Short answer: grading Mega Greninja ex is a close call on our numbers (verdict: CLOSE CALL).
Mega Greninja ex is a Mega Hyper Rare Water-type card from Chaos Rising, released in 2026, illustrated by takuyoa. Mega Greninja ex (Chaos Rising, #122) sells for about $108.86 raw and around $620.75 as a PSA 10, a gap of roughly 470% before grading costs. PSA has graded 3,563 copies, and about 22% of them received a PSA 10. A PSA 9 sells for around $126.10, so a 9 still beats the raw price. The raw price has fallen about 10% over the last 30 days. Our model gives a 22% chance of a PSA 10. If a copy grades a 10 it nets about $361.20 after the $59.99 grading fee, shipping and selling fees; if it does not, expect to lose about $75.57, so grading pays off when more than 17% of copies hit a 10. Whether it is worth grading depends on the condition of your copy, the grading fee and how often this card reaches a 10; the grader on CardHunt gives a free AI estimate from a front and back photo.
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<iframe src="https://www.cardhunt.io/embed/me4-122" width="360" height="150" style="border:0;max-width:100%" loading="lazy" title="Mega Greninja ex Chaos Rising on CardHunt"></iframe> <p><a href="https://www.cardhunt.io/discover/me4-122">Mega Greninja ex Chaos Rising price and PSA 10 value on CardHunt</a></p>