Mega Charizard X ex
Phantasmal Flames · #125 · Special Illustration Rare
Market value
$538.93▼ 13.0%30d
PSA 10 price
$1,269.92(+136%)
Price history
-35.0% since Apr 14, 2026
Apr 14, 2026Low $538.93 · High $902.31Nov 14, 2026
Series
Mega Evolution
Artist
danciao
Release date
2025/11/14
Region
Kanto
Types
Fire
What grading does to this card
If it grades a PSA 10 (60%)
+$476.90
sells for $1,269.92
If it does not (40%)
−$161.53
PSA 9 and lower, on average
Grading pays off if more than 25% of copies hit a 10. This card: about 60%. All figures are net of the raw card, grading, shipping and selling fees.
How we weigh the odds
We weigh every outcome by how often PSA-graded copies of this card come back a 10, 9 or 8. The average over all outcomes is the last line below.
60% chance of PSA 10 × $1,269.92$759.41
34% chance of PSA 9 × $544.54$186.23
5% chance of PSA 8 × $487.16$22.41
1% PSA 7 or lower × $485.04 (90% of raw)$6.79
Expected sale value$974.92
Selling fees (~13%)−$126.74
Raw card−$538.93
Grading (PSA Priority)−$79.00
Shipping both ways−$10.00
Average over all grades (+35%)+$220.25
Pop reports count submitted cards, and people mostly submit their best copies, so the real odds for a random raw card are likely a bit lower.
Buy Signal · Population report
Strong Buy59.8% of PSA-graded copies come back a 10
PSA population
60,060
Graded PSA 10
35,923
Gem Rate
59.8%
| Grade | PSA |
|---|---|
| 10 | 35,923 |
| 9 | 20,539 |
| 8.5 | 6 |
| 8 | 2,740 |
| 7 | 446 |
| 6 | 241 |
| 5 | 89 |
| 4 | 46 |
| 3 | 18 |
| 2 | 4 |
| 1 | 6 |
| Total | 60,060 |
Grade 10 value
What a Grade 10 sells for, by grading company.
BGSLeads$2,531.46
AGS$1,516.68
SGC$1,320.69
PSA$1,269.92
TAG$1,073.37
ACE$887.38
CGC$664.79
Price ladder
Every condition and grade Scrydex tracks for this card.
Raw
NM$538.93
LP$655.60
MP$623.12
DM$430.00
Graded
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Live raw and graded eBay listings for this card.
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More versions of Mega Charizard X ex
Every other printing of this character across sets.
